Abilene Christian vs Colorado

8:00
PM

Abilene Christian☆Wildcats

5994

Final, model had 70-81

LineColorado −18.5O/U154

Colorado☆Buffaloes

Strong pickW

Picked Colorado

Total 151 proj, 153 actual

Correct. The model had Colorado; Colorado won 94-59.

• Colorado rates 67th of 366 teams, Abilene Christian 246th: a top-75 team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly Colorado’s offense (62nd nationally) against Abilene Christian’s defense (216th).
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Colorado.
• The books have Colorado by 18.5, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
• Projected total 151, in line with the 154 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.