Air Force vs Wright State

6:00
PM

Air Force☆Falcons

71102

Final, model had 66-82

LineWright State −12O/U163.5Under ✗

Wright State☆Raiders

Strong pickW

Picked Wright State

Total 148 proj, 173 actual

Correct. The model had Wright State; Wright State won 102-71.

• Wright State rates 119th of 366 teams, Air Force 357th: an upper-half team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
• The edge is mostly Wright State’s offense (21st nationally) against Air Force’s defense (360th).
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Wright State.
• The books have Wright State by 12; the model likes Wright State by more than that, so the spread value is on Wright State −12.
• Projected total 148 vs an over/under of 163.5: a 16-point gap, the Under is the play.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.