Akron vs Louisiana

7:00
PM

Akron☆Zips

7561

Final, model had 80-68

LineAkron −5.5O/U148.5

Louisiana☆Ragin' Cajuns

Strong pickW

Picked Akron

Total 148 proj, 136 actual

Correct. The model had Akron; Akron won 75-61.

• Akron rates 65th of 366 teams, Louisiana 333rd: a top-75 team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
• The edge is mostly Akron’s offense (10th nationally) against Louisiana’s defense (297th).
• Akron is picked on the road despite Louisiana’s 2.7-point home-court edge.
• The books have Akron by 5.5; the model likes Akron by more than that, so the spread value is on Akron −5.5.
• Projected total 148, in line with the 148.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.