Bellarmine vs Vanderbilt

6:00
PM

Bellarmine☆Knights

4793

Final, model had 72-89

LineVanderbilt −35.5O/U158.5

Vanderbilt☆Commodores

Strong pickW

Picked Vanderbilt

Total 161 proj, 140 actual

Correct. The model had Vanderbilt; Vanderbilt won 93-47.

• Vanderbilt rates 16th of 366 teams, Bellarmine 291st: a top-25 team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly Vanderbilt’s defense (134th nationally) against Bellarmine’s offense (53rd).
• Vanderbilt has played the 20th-toughest schedule, so its numbers are earned.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Vanderbilt.
• The books have Vanderbilt by 35.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on Bellarmine +35.5.
• Projected total 161, in line with the 158.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.