Buffalo vs Marshall

6:00
PM

Buffalo☆Bulls

6592

Final, model had 76-81

LineMarshall −2

Marshall☆Thundering Herd

W

Picked Marshall

Total 157 proj, 157 actual

Correct. The model had Marshall; Marshall won 92-65.

• Marshall rates 186th of 366 teams, Buffalo 267th: a lower-half team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly Marshall’s defense (205th nationally) against Buffalo’s offense (172nd).
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Marshall.
• The books have Marshall by 2; the model likes Marshall by more than that, so the spread value is on Marshall −2.
• Projected total: 157 points.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.