Campbell vs NC State

6:30
PM

Campbell☆Fighting Camels

6483

Final, model had 73-85

LineNC State −22.5O/U158.5

NC State☆Wolfpack

Strong pickW

Picked NC State

Total 158 proj, 147 actual

Correct. The model had NC State; NC State won 83-64.

• NC State rates 37th of 366 teams, Campbell 208th: a top-75 team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly NC State’s defense (137th nationally) against Campbell’s offense (121st).
• NC State has played the 40th-toughest schedule, so its numbers are earned.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for NC State.
• The books have NC State by 22.5, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
• Projected total 158, in line with the 158.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.