Central Connecticut vs Temple

5:30
PM

Central Connecticut☆Blue Devils

5668

Final, model had 69-76

LineTemple −14.5O/U145.5

Temple☆Owls

W

Picked Temple

Total 145 proj, 124 actual

Correct. The model had Temple; Temple won 68-56.

• Temple rates 182nd of 366 teams, Central Connecticut 296th: an upper-half team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
• The edge is mostly Temple’s defense (150th nationally) against Central Connecticut’s offense (130th).
• Central Connecticut’s numbers came against the 7th-easiest schedule, so they are discounted.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Temple.
• The books have Temple by 14.5, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
• Projected total 145, in line with the 145.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.