Chattanooga vs Louisville

8:00
PM

Chattanooga☆Mocs

7084

Final, model had 69-86

LineLouisville −30O/U158

Louisville☆Cardinals

Strong pickW

Picked Louisville

Total 154 proj, 154 actual

Correct. The model had Louisville; Louisville won 84-70.

• Louisville rates 22nd of 366 teams, Chattanooga 264th: a top-25 team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly Louisville’s offense (58th nationally) against Chattanooga’s defense (178th).
• Louisville has played the 34th-toughest schedule, so its numbers are earned.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Louisville.
• The books have Louisville by 30, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
• Projected total 154, in line with the 158 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.