Denver vs Wisconsin

6:30
PM

Denver☆Pioneers

6875

Final, model had 75-88

LineWisconsin −25O/U161.5

Wisconsin☆Badgers

Strong pickW

Picked Wisconsin

Total 162 proj, 143 actual

Correct. The model had Wisconsin; Wisconsin won 75-68.

• Wisconsin rates 42nd of 366 teams, Denver 219th: a top-75 team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly Wisconsin’s defense (231st nationally) against Denver’s offense (33rd).
• Wisconsin has played the 14th-toughest schedule, so its numbers are earned.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Wisconsin.
• The books have Wisconsin by 25, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
• Projected total 162, in line with the 161.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.