East Tennessee State vs Arizona State

9:00
PM

East Tennessee State☆Buccaneers

6575

Final, model had 73-78

LineArizona State −19

Arizona State☆Sun Devils

W

Picked Arizona State

Total 151 proj, 140 actual

Correct. The model had Arizona State; Arizona State won 75-65.

• Arizona State rates 87th of 366 teams, East Tennessee State 149th: an upper-half team against an upper-half team.
• The two are close on both ends: offense 176th vs 54th, defense 317th vs 76th.
• Arizona State has played the 13th-toughest schedule, so its numbers are earned.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Arizona State.
• The books have Arizona State by 19, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on East Tennessee State +19.
• Projected total: 151 points.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.