Fairleigh Dickinson vs Illinois

7:00
PM

Fairleigh Dickinson☆Knights

45120

Final, model had 60-84

LineIllinois −39O/U156.5Under ✗

Illinois☆Fighting Illini

Strong pickW

Picked Illinois

Total 145 proj, 165 actual

Correct. The model had Illinois; Illinois won 120-45.

• Illinois rates 7th of 366 teams, Fairleigh Dickinson 328th: a top-25 team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
• The edge is mostly Illinois’s offense (2nd nationally) against Fairleigh Dickinson’s defense (227th).
• Illinois has played the 12th-toughest schedule, so its numbers are earned.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Illinois.
• The books have Illinois by 39, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
• Projected total 145 vs an over/under of 156.5: a 12-point gap, the Under is the play.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.