Florida A&M vs Florida State

7:30
PMNeutral

Florida A&M☆Rattlers

69112

Final, model had 70-82

LineFlorida State −27O/U157.5

Florida State☆Seminoles

Strong pickW

Picked Florida State

Total 152 proj, 181 actual

Correct. The model had Florida State; Florida State won 112-69.

• Florida State rates 91st of 366 teams, Florida A&M 336th: an upper-half team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
• The edge is mostly Florida State’s offense (174th nationally) against Florida A&M’s defense (267th).
• Florida A&M’s numbers came against the 33rd-easiest schedule, so they are discounted.
• Neutral site: no home-court edge either way.
• The books have Florida State by 27, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on Florida A&M +27.
• Projected total 152 vs 157.5: leans Under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.