Incarnate Word vs Oklahoma State

8:00
PM

Incarnate Word☆Cardinals

6091

Final, model had 73-85

LineOklahoma State −27.5O/U161

Oklahoma State☆Cowboys

Strong pickW

Picked Oklahoma State

Total 158 proj, 151 actual

Correct. The model had Oklahoma State; Oklahoma State won 91-60.

• Oklahoma State rates 59th of 366 teams, Incarnate Word 266th: a top-75 team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly Oklahoma State’s defense (202nd nationally) against Incarnate Word’s offense (188th).
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Oklahoma State.
• The books have Oklahoma State by 27.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on Incarnate Word +27.5.
• Projected total 158, in line with the 161 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.