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Kansas CityRoos
6176
Final, model had 67-85
LineCreighton −26.5O/U155.5
CreightonBluejays
Strong pickW
Correct. The model had Creighton; Creighton won 76-61.
Why the model had Creighton
- Creighton rates 92nd of 366 teams, Kansas City 355th: an upper-half team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
- The edge is mostly Creighton’s offense (213th nationally) against Kansas City’s defense (352nd).
- Home court adds 2.7 points for Creighton.
- The books have Creighton by 26.5, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
- Projected total 152, in line with the 155.5 over/under.
- Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.
Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.