Kent State vs Louisiana Tech

6:30
PM

Kent State☆Golden Flashes

7585

Final, model had 73-76

LineKent State −5

Louisiana Tech☆Bulldogs

Upset pickW

Picked Louisiana Tech

Total 149 proj, 160 actual

Correct. The model had Louisiana Tech; Louisiana Tech won 85-75.

• Louisiana Tech rates 125th of 366 teams, Kent State 152nd: an upper-half team against an upper-half team.
• The edge is mostly Louisiana Tech’s defense (15th nationally) against Kent State’s offense (116th).
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Louisiana Tech.
• The books favor Kent State by 5. The model disagrees and takes Louisiana Tech outright, which also means Louisiana Tech +5 on the spread.
• Projected total: 149 points.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.