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La SalleExplorers
5594
Final, model had 60-80
LineHouston −29.5O/U136
HoustonCougars
Strong pickW
Correct. The model had Houston; Houston won 94-55.
Why the model had Houston
- Houston rates 5th of 366 teams, La Salle 218th: a top-25 team against a lower-half team.
- The edge is mostly Houston’s offense (22nd nationally) against La Salle’s defense (289th).
- Houston has played the 21st-toughest schedule, so its numbers are earned.
- Home court adds 2.7 points for Houston.
- The books have Houston by 29.5, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
- Projected total 140 vs 136: leans Over.
- Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.
Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.