Lafayette vs Butler

6:00
PM

Lafayette☆Leopards

6096

Final, model had 67-83

LineButler −19.5

Butler☆Bulldogs

Strong pickW

Picked Butler

Total 150 proj, 156 actual

Correct. The model had Butler; Butler won 96-60.

• Butler rates 75th of 366 teams, Lafayette 349th: a top-75 team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
• The edge is mostly Butler’s offense (76th nationally) against Lafayette’s defense (305th).
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Butler.
• The books have Butler by 19.5; the model likes Butler by more than that, so the spread value is on Butler −19.5.
• Projected total: 150 points.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.