6:30
PM
PM
Le MoyneDolphins
64106
Final, model had 62-83
LineNebraska −34.5O/U151.5
NebraskaCornhuskers
Strong pickW
Correct. The model had Nebraska; Nebraska won 106-64.
Why the model had Nebraska
- Nebraska rates 19th of 366 teams, Le Moyne 321st: a top-25 team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
- The edge is mostly Nebraska’s offense (106th nationally) against Le Moyne’s defense (159th).
- Nebraska has played the 38th-toughest schedule, so its numbers are earned.
- Le Moyne’s numbers came against the 12th-easiest schedule, so they are discounted.
- Home court adds 2.7 points for Nebraska.
- The books have Nebraska by 34.5, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
- Projected total 145 vs 151.5: leans Under.
- Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.
Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.