Lipscomb vs Southeast Missouri State

6:30
PM

Lipscomb☆Bisons

7986

Final, model had 74-76

LineLipscomb −1.5O/U156.5

Southeast Missouri State☆Redhawks

Upset pickW

Picked Southeast Missouri State

Total 150 proj, 165 actual

Correct. The model had Southeast Missouri State; Southeast Missouri State won 86-79.

• Southeast Missouri State rates 226th of 366 teams, Lipscomb 237th: a lower-half team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly Southeast Missouri State’s defense (70th nationally) against Lipscomb’s offense (202nd).
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Southeast Missouri State.
• The books favor Lipscomb by 1.5. The model disagrees and takes Southeast Missouri State outright, which also means Southeast Missouri State +1.5 on the spread.
• Projected total 150 vs 156.5: leans Under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.