Little Rock vs VCU

6:00
PM

Little Rock☆Trojans

7282

Final, model had 67-82

LineVCU −18.5O/U155

VCU☆Rams

Strong pickW

Picked VCU

Total 149 proj, 154 actual

Correct. The model had VCU; VCU won 82-72.

• VCU rates 84th of 366 teams, Little Rock 310th: an upper-half team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
• The edge is mostly VCU’s offense (113th nationally) against Little Rock’s defense (252nd).
• Home court adds 2.7 points for VCU.
• The books have VCU by 18.5; the model likes VCU by more than that, so the spread value is on VCU −18.5.
• Projected total 149 vs 155: leans Under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.