Long Island University vs Florida Atlantic

6:00
PM

Long Island University☆Sharks

6074

Final, model had 70-79

LineFAU −11.5

Florida Atlantic☆Owls

W

Picked Florida Atlantic

Total 149 proj, 134 actual

Correct. The model had Florida Atlantic; Florida Atlantic won 74-60.

• Florida Atlantic rates 105th of 366 teams, Long Island University 276th: an upper-half team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly Florida Atlantic’s defense (99th nationally) against Long Island University’s offense (197th).
• Long Island University’s numbers came against the 34th-easiest schedule, so they are discounted.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Florida Atlantic.
• The books have Florida Atlantic by 11.5, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
• Projected total: 149 points.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.