Massachusetts vs Troy

6:00
PM

Massachusetts☆Minutemen

7160

Final, model had 76-79

LineTroy −3

Troy☆Trojans

L

Picked Troy

Total 155 proj, 131 actual

Missed. The model had Troy; Massachusetts won 71-60.

• Troy rates 163rd of 366 teams, Massachusetts 183rd: an upper-half team against an upper-half team.
• The two are close on both ends: offense 132nd vs 163rd, defense 122nd vs 118th.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Troy.
• The books have Troy by 3, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
• Projected total: 155 points.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.