Miami (OH) vs James Madison

6:00
PM

Miami (OH)☆RedHawks

8677

Final, model had 80-77

LineMiami (OH) −1O/U158.5

James Madison☆Dukes

W

Picked Miami (OH)

Total 157 proj, 163 actual

Correct. The model had Miami (OH); Miami (OH) won 86-77.

• Miami (OH) rates 104th of 366 teams, James Madison 260th: an upper-half team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly Miami (OH)’s offense (20th nationally) against James Madison’s defense (237th).
• Miami (OH) is picked on the road despite James Madison’s 2.7-point home-court edge.
• The books have Miami (OH) by 1; the model likes Miami (OH) by more than that, so the spread value is on Miami (OH) −1.
• Projected total 157, in line with the 158.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.