Montana State vs Colorado State

9:00
PM

Montana State☆Bobcats

7484

Final, model had 70-78

LineColorado State −11O/U148

Colorado State☆Rams

W

Picked Colorado State

Total 148 proj, 158 actual

Correct. The model had Colorado State; Colorado State won 84-74.

• Colorado State rates 82nd of 366 teams, Montana State 201st: an upper-half team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly Colorado State’s offense (61st nationally) against Montana State’s defense (254th).
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Colorado State.
• The books have Colorado State by 11, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
• Projected total 148, in line with the 148 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.