Montana vs Oregon

9:00
PM

Montana☆Grizzlies

6987

Final, model had 72-77

LineOregon −19O/U151.5

Oregon☆Ducks

W

Picked Oregon

Total 148 proj, 156 actual

Correct. The model had Oregon; Oregon won 87-69.

• Oregon rates 107th of 366 teams, Montana 188th: an upper-half team against a lower-half team.
• The two are close on both ends: offense 231st vs 227th, defense 316th vs 139th.
• Oregon has played the 25th-toughest schedule, so its numbers are earned.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Oregon.
• The books have Oregon by 19, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on Montana +19.
• Projected total 148, in line with the 151.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.