Morehead State vs Western Kentucky

6:30
PM

Morehead State☆Eagles

5883

Final, model had 73-80

LineWKU −17.5O/U153.5

Western Kentucky☆Hilltoppers

W

Picked Western Kentucky

Total 153 proj, 141 actual

Correct. The model had Western Kentucky; Western Kentucky won 83-58.

• Western Kentucky rates 131st of 366 teams, Morehead State 239th: an upper-half team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly Western Kentucky’s defense (83rd nationally) against Morehead State’s offense (78th).
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Western Kentucky.
• The books have Western Kentucky by 17.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on Morehead State +17.5.
• Projected total 153, in line with the 153.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.