Mount St. Mary's vs Xavier

6:00
PM

Mount St. Mary's☆Mountaineers

5297

Final, model had 69-80

LineXavier −26.5O/U156.5

Xavier☆Musketeers

Strong pickW

Picked Xavier

Total 149 proj, 149 actual

Correct. The model had Xavier; Xavier won 97-52.

• Xavier rates 98th of 366 teams, Mount St. Mary's 309th: an upper-half team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
• The edge is mostly Xavier’s offense (215th nationally) against Mount St. Mary's’s defense (97th).
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Xavier.
• The books have Xavier by 26.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on Mount St. Mary's +26.5.
• Projected total 149 vs 156.5: leans Under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.