Navy vs George Washington

6:30
PM

Navy☆Midshipmen

3991

Final, model had 70-77

LineGW −18.5O/U149.5

George Washington☆Revolutionaries

W

Picked George Washington

Total 147 proj, 130 actual

Correct. The model had George Washington; George Washington won 91-39.

• George Washington rates 72nd of 366 teams, Navy 212th: a top-75 team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly George Washington’s offense (65th nationally) against Navy’s defense (56th).
• Navy’s numbers came against the 8th-easiest schedule, so they are discounted.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for George Washington.
• The books have George Washington by 18.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on Navy +18.5.
• Projected total 147, in line with the 149.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.