New Haven vs Syracuse

6:00
PM

New Haven☆Chargers

5874

Final, model had 63-77

LineSyracuse −27.5O/U132.5

Syracuse☆Orange

Strong pickW

Picked Syracuse

Total 140 proj, 132 actual

Correct. The model had Syracuse; Syracuse won 74-58.

• Syracuse rates 103rd of 366 teams, New Haven 330th: an upper-half team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
• The edge is mostly Syracuse’s offense (257th nationally) against New Haven’s defense (145th).
• New Haven’s numbers came against the 31st-easiest schedule, so they are discounted.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Syracuse.
• The books have Syracuse by 27.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on New Haven +27.5.
• Projected total 140 vs 132.5: leans Over.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.