North Alabama vs UC Davis

9:00
PM

North Alabama☆Lions

7975

Final, model had 70-80

LineUC Davis −9.5O/U148.5

UC Davis☆Aggies

L

Picked UC Davis

Total 150 proj, 154 actual

Missed. The model had UC Davis; North Alabama won 79-75.

• UC Davis rates 222nd of 366 teams, North Alabama 339th: a lower-half team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
• The edge is mostly UC Davis’s defense (131st nationally) against North Alabama’s offense (289th).
• Home court adds 2.7 points for UC Davis.
• The books have UC Davis by 9.5; the model likes UC Davis by more than that, so the spread value is on UC Davis −9.5.
• Projected total 150, in line with the 148.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.