North Carolina Central vs Georgia

6:30
PM

North Carolina Central☆Eagles

6278

Final, model had 70-89

LineGeorgia −39.5O/U164.5

Georgia☆Bulldogs

Strong pickW

Picked Georgia

Total 158 proj, 140 actual

Correct. The model had Georgia; Georgia won 78-62.

• Georgia rates 48th of 366 teams, North Carolina Central 324th: a top-75 team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
• The edge is mostly Georgia’s offense (32nd nationally) against North Carolina Central’s defense (309th).
• North Carolina Central’s numbers came against the 19th-easiest schedule, so they are discounted.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Georgia.
• The books have Georgia by 39.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on North Carolina Central +39.5.
• Projected total 158 vs 164.5: leans Under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.