North Dakota vs Minnesota

8:00
PM

North Dakota☆Fighting Hawks

5085

Final, model had 68-78

LineMinnesota −26O/U149

Minnesota☆Golden Gophers

W

Picked Minnesota

Total 146 proj, 135 actual

Correct. The model had Minnesota; Minnesota won 85-50.

• Minnesota rates 101st of 366 teams, North Dakota 283rd: an upper-half team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly Minnesota’s defense (165th nationally) against North Dakota’s offense (281st).
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Minnesota.
• The books have Minnesota by 26, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on North Dakota +26.
• Projected total 146, in line with the 149 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.