Ohio vs South Alabama

7:00
PM

Ohio☆Bobcats

8677

Final, model had 73-77

LineOhio −1O/U155

South Alabama☆Jaguars

Upset pickL

Picked South Alabama

Total 150 proj, 163 actual

Missed. The model had South Alabama; Ohio won 86-77.

• South Alabama rates 198th of 366 teams, Ohio 230th: a lower-half team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly South Alabama’s defense (42nd nationally) against Ohio’s offense (175th).
• Home court adds 2.7 points for South Alabama.
• The books favor Ohio by 1. The model disagrees and takes South Alabama outright, which also means South Alabama +1 on the spread.
• Projected total 150 vs 155: leans Under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.