Quinnipiac vs Michigan State

6:00
PM

Quinnipiac☆Bobcats

5996

Final, model had 63-85

LineMichigan State −30O/U152.5

Michigan State☆Spartans

Strong pickW

Picked Michigan State

Total 147 proj, 155 actual

Correct. The model had Michigan State; Michigan State won 96-59.

• Michigan State rates 8th of 366 teams, Quinnipiac 282nd: a top-25 team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly Michigan State’s offense (15th nationally) against Quinnipiac’s defense (184th).
• Michigan State has played the 11th-toughest schedule, so its numbers are earned.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Michigan State.
• The books have Michigan State by 30; the model likes Michigan State by more than that, so the spread value is on Michigan State −30.
• Projected total 147 vs 152.5: leans Under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.