Southern Indiana vs Belmont

6:30
PM

Southern Indiana☆Screaming Eagles

5472

Final, model had 66-84

LineBelmont −17.5O/U155.5

Belmont☆Bruins

Strong pickW

Picked Belmont

Total 150 proj, 126 actual

Correct. The model had Belmont; Belmont won 72-54.

• Belmont rates 93rd of 366 teams, Southern Indiana 358th: an upper-half team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
• The edge is mostly Belmont’s offense (94th nationally) against Southern Indiana’s defense (272nd).
• Southern Indiana’s numbers came against the 26th-easiest schedule, so they are discounted.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Belmont.
• The books have Belmont by 17.5; the model likes Belmont by more than that, so the spread value is on Belmont −17.5.
• Projected total 150 vs 155.5: leans Under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.