Tennessee Tech vs Mississippi State

6:30
PM

Tennessee Tech☆Golden Eagles

88106

Final, model had 72-81

LineMSST −18

Mississippi State☆Bulldogs

W

Picked Mississippi State

Total 154 proj, 194 actual

Correct. The model had Mississippi State; Mississippi State won 106-88.

• Mississippi State rates 129th of 366 teams, Tennessee Tech 289th: an upper-half team against a lower-half team.
• The two are close on both ends: offense 245th vs 185th, defense 321st vs 274th.
• Mississippi State has played the 36th-toughest schedule, so its numbers are earned.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Mississippi State.
• The books have Mississippi State by 18, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
• Projected total: 154 points.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.