Texas A&M-Corpus Christi vs Texas State

7:00
PM

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi☆Islanders

5567

Final, model had 70-72

LineTexas State −10.5O/U142.5

Texas State☆Bobcats

W

Picked Texas State

Total 142 proj, 122 actual

Correct. The model had Texas State; Texas State won 67-55.

• Texas State rates 160th of 366 teams, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 155th: an upper-half team against an upper-half team.
• The edge is mostly Texas State’s offense (60th nationally) against Texas A&M-Corpus Christi’s defense (44th).
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Texas State.
• The books have Texas State by 10.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +10.5.
• Projected total 142, in line with the 142.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.