UNC Asheville vs Richmond

6:00
PM

UNC Asheville☆Bulldogs

77100

Final, model had 72-76

LineRichmond −15.5O/U152.5

Richmond☆Spiders

W

Picked Richmond

Total 148 proj, 177 actual

Correct. The model had Richmond; Richmond won 100-77.

• Richmond rates 173rd of 366 teams, UNC Asheville 213th: an upper-half team against a lower-half team.
• The two are close on both ends: offense 192nd vs 214th, defense 152nd vs 172nd.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Richmond.
• The books have Richmond by 15.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on UNC Asheville +15.5.
• Projected total 148 vs 152.5: leans Under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.