UT Martin vs Tulane

7:00
PM

UT Martin☆Skyhawks

98100

Final, model had 71-70

LineTulane −6O/U146.5

Tulane☆Green Wave

Upset pickL

Picked UT Martin

Total 140 proj, 198 actual

Missed. The model had UT Martin; Tulane won 100-98.

• UT Martin rates 211th of 366 teams, Tulane 262nd: a lower-half team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly UT Martin’s defense (6th nationally) against Tulane’s offense (315th).
• UT Martin’s numbers came against the 23rd-easiest schedule, so they are discounted.
• UT Martin is picked on the road despite Tulane’s 2.7-point home-court edge.
• The books favor Tulane by 6. The model disagrees and takes UT Martin outright, which also means UT Martin +6 on the spread.
• Projected total 140 vs 146.5: leans Under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.