Western Carolina vs North Carolina

6:00
PM

Western Carolina☆Catamounts

7280

Final, model had 71-83

LineNorth Carolina −22O/U158

North Carolina☆Tar Heels

Strong pickW

Picked North Carolina

Total 154 proj, 152 actual

Correct. The model had North Carolina; North Carolina won 80-72.

• North Carolina rates 40th of 366 teams, Western Carolina 190th: a top-75 team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly North Carolina’s defense (106th nationally) against Western Carolina’s offense (110th).
• North Carolina has played the 32nd-toughest schedule, so its numbers are earned.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for North Carolina.
• The books have North Carolina by 22, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
• Projected total 154 vs 158: leans Under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.