Winthrop vs Queens University

8:00
AMNeutral

Winthrop☆Eagles

98103

Final, model had 84-79

LineQUC −3.5O/U168.5

Queens University☆Royals

Upset pickL

Picked Winthrop

Total 164 proj, 201 actual

Missed. The model had Winthrop; Queens University won 103-98.

• Winthrop rates 150th of 366 teams, Queens University 254th: an upper-half team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly Winthrop’s defense (108th nationally) against Queens University’s offense (51st).
• Neutral site: no home-court edge either way.
• The books favor Queens University by 3.5. The model disagrees and takes Winthrop outright, which also means Winthrop +3.5 on the spread.
• Projected total 164 vs 168.5: leans Under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.