Youngstown State vs St. Bonaventure

6:00
PM

Youngstown State☆Penguins

7971

Final, model had 71-80

LineSBU −10.5O/U153.5

St. Bonaventure☆Bonnies

L

Picked St. Bonaventure

Total 151 proj, 150 actual

Missed. The model had St. Bonaventure; Youngstown State won 79-71.

• St. Bonaventure rates 117th of 366 teams, Youngstown State 250th: an upper-half team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly St. Bonaventure’s offense (63rd nationally) against Youngstown State’s defense (250th).
• Home court adds 2.7 points for St. Bonaventure.
• The books have St. Bonaventure by 10.5, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
• Projected total 151, in line with the 153.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.