Alabama State vs Texas A&M

7:00
PM

Alabama State☆Hornets

6697

Final, model had 71-87

LineTexas A&M −27.5O/U162.5

Texas A&M☆Aggies

Strong pickW

Picked Texas A&M

Total 158 proj, 163 actual

Correct. The model had Texas A&M; Texas A&M won 97-66.

• Texas A&M rates 71st of 366 teams, Alabama State 323rd: a top-75 team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
• The edge is mostly Texas A&M’s offense (95th nationally) against Alabama State’s defense (202nd).
• Alabama State’s numbers came against the 28th-easiest schedule, so they are discounted.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Texas A&M.
• The books have Texas A&M by 27.5, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
• Projected total 158 vs 162.5: leans Under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.