Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Arkansas

7:00
PM

Arkansas-Pine Bluff☆Golden Lions

61106

Final, model had 72-93

LineArkansas −38.5O/U163.5

Arkansas☆Razorbacks

Strong pickW

Picked Arkansas

Total 165 proj, 167 actual

Correct. The model had Arkansas; Arkansas won 106-61.

• Arkansas rates 15th of 366 teams, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 321st: a top-25 team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
• The edge is mostly Arkansas’s offense (4th nationally) against Arkansas-Pine Bluff’s defense (336th).
• Arkansas has played the 10th-toughest schedule, so its numbers are earned.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Arkansas.
• The books have Arkansas by 38.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on Arkansas-Pine Bluff +38.5.
• Projected total 165, in line with the 163.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.