Drexel vs Virginia

6:30
PM

Drexel☆Dragons

6089

Final, model had 62-80

LineVirginia −31.5O/U142.5

Virginia☆Cavaliers

Strong pickW

Picked Virginia

Total 142 proj, 149 actual

Correct. The model had Virginia; Virginia won 89-60.

• Virginia rates 30th of 366 teams, Drexel 290th: a top-75 team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly Virginia’s offense (36th nationally) against Drexel’s defense (164th).
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Virginia.
• The books have Virginia by 31.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on Drexel +31.5.
• Projected total 142, in line with the 142.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.