Northern Arizona vs UNLV

9:00
PM

Northern Arizona☆Lumberjacks

7789

Final, model had 71-82

LineUNLV −21.5O/U152.5

UNLV☆Rebels

Strong pickW

Picked UNLV

Total 152 proj, 166 actual

Correct. The model had UNLV; UNLV won 89-77.

• UNLV rates 114th of 366 teams, Northern Arizona 318th: an upper-half team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
• The edge is mostly UNLV’s offense (157th nationally) against Northern Arizona’s defense (344th).
• Home court adds 2.7 points for UNLV.
• The books have UNLV by 21.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on Northern Arizona +21.5.
• Projected total 152, in line with the 152.5 over/under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.