6:30
PM
PM
Sam HoustonBearkats
7496
Final, model had 78-87
LineAlabama −26.5O/U171.5
AlabamaCrimson Tide
W
Correct. The model had Alabama; Alabama won 96-74.
Why the model had Alabama
- Alabama rates 25th of 366 teams, Sam Houston 100th: a top-25 team against an upper-half team.
- The two are close on both ends: offense 45th vs 66th, defense 241st vs 127th.
- Alabama has played the 2nd-toughest schedule, so its numbers are earned.
- Home court adds 2.7 points for Alabama.
- The books have Alabama by 26.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on Sam Houston +26.5.
- Projected total 166 vs 171.5: leans Under.
- Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.
Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.