South Dakota State vs Kansas State

7:00
PM

South Dakota State☆Jackrabbits

6866

Final, model had 75-80

LineKansas State −11.5O/U159.5

Kansas State☆Wildcats

L

Picked Kansas State

Total 155 proj, 134 actual

Missed. The model had Kansas State; South Dakota State won 68-66.

• Kansas State rates 109th of 366 teams, South Dakota State 185th: an upper-half team against a lower-half team.
• The two are close on both ends: offense 236th vs 170th, defense 308th vs 103rd.
• Kansas State has played the 31st-toughest schedule, so its numbers are earned.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Kansas State.
• The books have Kansas State by 11.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on South Dakota State +11.5.
• Projected total 155 vs 159.5: leans Under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.