Wagner vs Boston College

6:00
PM

Wagner☆Seahawks

5076

Final, model had 67-74

LineBoston College −16.5O/U147.5

Boston College☆Eagles

W

Picked Boston College

Total 140 proj, 126 actual

Correct. The model had Boston College; Boston College won 76-50.

• Boston College rates 171st of 366 teams, Wagner 286th: an upper-half team against a lower-half team.
• The edge is mostly Boston College’s defense (68th nationally) against Wagner’s offense (238th).
• Wagner’s numbers came against the 20th-easiest schedule, so they are discounted.
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Boston College.
• The books have Boston College by 16.5, more than the model’s gap supports, so the spread value is on Wagner +16.5.
• Projected total 140 vs 147.5: leans Under.
• Early-season note: about 95% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.