Fairleigh Dickinson vs Butler

6:00
PM

Fairleigh Dickinson☆Knights

6599

Final, model had 66-82

LineButler −26.5O/U155.5

Butler☆Bulldogs

Strong pickW 1H W

Picked Butler

Total 148 proj, 164 actual

Correct. The model had Butler; Butler won 99-65.

• Butler rates 75th of 366 teams, Fairleigh Dickinson 329th: a top-75 team against one of the weakest teams in Division I.
• The edge is mostly Butler’s offense (76th nationally) against Fairleigh Dickinson’s defense (227th).
• Home court adds 2.7 points for Butler.
• The books have Butler by 26.5, right about where the model is. No spread edge.
• Projected total 148 vs 155.5: leans Under.
• Early-season note: about 90% of these numbers are still last season’s.

Every pick is locked before tip-off and graded from the final score. How the model works.